Predictions...
Bush wins popular vote 51.5 to 47.17 to 1.3 elsewhere...
Bush wins Electoral vote 276-262, taking Nevada, NM, Iowa, Wis, Col and Florida while Kerry takes Pa, OH, NH, MI, MN.
If BUSH is lucky enough to pick up OHIO the final would around 296 to 242.
it would remain possible for BUSH to win in a landslide of over 300 electoral votes if Pa is in hte mix too.
WHY do you ask, do I come up with these numbers. Kerry has told me as has Terry McAuffle based upon their actions.
Internals had told them to register as many as than can in battlegrounds states as opposed to winning the likely voters. That tells me they have been worried about the race, more than they should have in traditional areas. As a result I suspect Wed might not be as contentious as I had previously thought.
In any event, let us all hope for a landslide either way, to maintain the long tradition, excluding GORE 2000, of smooth transition of power in the US. If not look for the market to tank on the 3 thru the rest of November, losing more than 150 points over the rest of the year.
AS FOR THE SENATE...
Martinez wins, while Thune losses again by razor thin margin. DeMint wins a strong GOP state, but by a tight margin due to his over the top campaign. All in all, teh GOP increases the lead in the Senate to 54 to 45 to 1....(maybe 53/46/1)
In the HOUSE....
The GOP make great gains in numbers but lose by doing so, some political hay. Beating some moderate DEMS gives the GOP a margin in JAN of 231 to 203 to 1 IND. This gives strong edge to the GOP in governance and will only embolden the DEMS left in the Congress.
EXPECT...
stonewalling beyond your imagination in JUDICIAL appointments and even more feirce fighting over the next 2 to 3 Supreme Court nominations...Rehnquist is already MIA due to Cancer treatment and Ginsburg is not far behind...so too Stevens and O'Connor.
The agenda for the GOP should include SS reform adn focus on this and permenant TAX CUTS along with INTERNATIONAL POLICY of TERRORISM as a mainstay of a threat.
Bush wins Electoral vote 276-262, taking Nevada, NM, Iowa, Wis, Col and Florida while Kerry takes Pa, OH, NH, MI, MN.
If BUSH is lucky enough to pick up OHIO the final would around 296 to 242.
it would remain possible for BUSH to win in a landslide of over 300 electoral votes if Pa is in hte mix too.
WHY do you ask, do I come up with these numbers. Kerry has told me as has Terry McAuffle based upon their actions.
Internals had told them to register as many as than can in battlegrounds states as opposed to winning the likely voters. That tells me they have been worried about the race, more than they should have in traditional areas. As a result I suspect Wed might not be as contentious as I had previously thought.
In any event, let us all hope for a landslide either way, to maintain the long tradition, excluding GORE 2000, of smooth transition of power in the US. If not look for the market to tank on the 3 thru the rest of November, losing more than 150 points over the rest of the year.
AS FOR THE SENATE...
Martinez wins, while Thune losses again by razor thin margin. DeMint wins a strong GOP state, but by a tight margin due to his over the top campaign. All in all, teh GOP increases the lead in the Senate to 54 to 45 to 1....(maybe 53/46/1)
In the HOUSE....
The GOP make great gains in numbers but lose by doing so, some political hay. Beating some moderate DEMS gives the GOP a margin in JAN of 231 to 203 to 1 IND. This gives strong edge to the GOP in governance and will only embolden the DEMS left in the Congress.
EXPECT...
stonewalling beyond your imagination in JUDICIAL appointments and even more feirce fighting over the next 2 to 3 Supreme Court nominations...Rehnquist is already MIA due to Cancer treatment and Ginsburg is not far behind...so too Stevens and O'Connor.
The agenda for the GOP should include SS reform adn focus on this and permenant TAX CUTS along with INTERNATIONAL POLICY of TERRORISM as a mainstay of a threat.
posted by Tom Gaitens at 10:55 AM
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